Starting With $100: Running an Open-Source AI Agent on Polymarket’s 5-Minute Bitcoin Markets
A Markov chain reads Bitcoin’s short-term state, the agent only trades when its probability beats the market price by at least 5 points, Kelly sizing sets the stake, and every night a language model reviews the log and rewrites the parameters. Here is how this open-source Hermes setup for Polymarket’s 5-minute Up/Down markets works, what it needs and how to build it.